As Pontes vs Somozas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
ASP
2 - 1
ORD
40%
26%
35%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BER
2 - 0
ASP
17%
23%
60%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -3 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ASP
3 - 1
BAR
47%
24%
29%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 0
ASP
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ASP
1 - 3
PON
40%
25%
35%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
CER
2 - 2
SOM
44%
27%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SOM
0 - 2
ORD
34%
27%
39%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ALO
2 - 0
SOM
43%
26%
32%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SOM
1 - 0
BER
70%
19%
11%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
BOU
2 - 1
SOM
39%
26%
35%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |