As Pontes vs Real Madrid C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
PON
1 - 0
ASP
68%
21%
11%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1995 |
PON
2 - 2
ASP
71%
19%
10%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
ASP
0 - 1
LUG
40%
28%
32%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
ASP
2 - 2
CAS
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
BER
1 - 0
ASP
13%
26%
61%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
RMC
2 - 1
RCF
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
LEG
0 - 3
RMC
29%
25%
45%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
VAL
1 - 1
RMC
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1995 |
RMC
0 - 0
PON
38%
28%
34%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1995 |
RCF
5 - 0
RMC
73%
17%
11%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |