As Pontes vs CSD Arzua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
RIB
2 - 0
ASP
37%
24%
39%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
ASP
4 - 0
VIV
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
UPH
0 - 0
ASP
60%
21%
19%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ASP
4 - 1
BET
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
DUB
2 - 3
ASP
43%
23%
34%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2017 |
SOF
2 - 3
ARZ
25%
24%
50%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ARZ
2 - 0
SAN
64%
20%
15%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
ARZ
1 - 1
DUM
79%
14%
7%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
AES
0 - 1
ARZ
34%
25%
41%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
RIB
1 - 0
ARZ
37%
25%
38%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |