As Pontes vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
12.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
ASP
1 - 0
ARO
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1967 |
ORD
0 - 3
ASP
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
ASP
1 - 4
ATO
47%
26%
28%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
GRA
7 - 2
ASP
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
ASP
3 - 0
BET
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
CEL
2 - 2
ORD
78%
15%
7%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1967 |
ATO
4 - 0
CEL
83%
12%
5%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
CEL
1 - 1
GRA
64%
21%
15%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
BET
1 - 0
CEL
46%
25%
30%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
CEL
0 - 1
DEP
54%
24%
22%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |