As Pontes vs Barbadás analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BER
1 - 1
ASP
15%
22%
64%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ASP
1 - 1
LAR
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BOI
1 - 0
ASP
39%
25%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ASP
2 - 0
CUL
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SIL
1 - 0
ASP
30%
23%
47%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Barbadás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 0
BOU
44%
25%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 0
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 0
ARO
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
4 - 2
ORD
52%
24%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BER
0 - 1
BAR
22%
26%
52%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |