Novazzano vs Sarnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
23.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novazzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FCS
6 - 1
NOV
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 0
WIL
41%
22%
37%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
LUZ
2 - 1
NOV
47%
22%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 3
HER
21%
19%
61%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 2
NOV
48%
22%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
WIL
5 - 2
SAR
68%
16%
16%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 3
HER
19%
19%
62%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 2
SAR
79%
14%
8%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 3
IBA
40%
24%
37%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
TAV
1 - 1
SAR
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |