Novazzano vs Perlen-Buchrain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
32.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novazzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 0
NOV
35%
22%
44%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
NOV
3 - 5
FCS
37%
23%
41%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
WIL
3 - 4
NOV
58%
19%
23%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
NOV
3 - 1
LUZ
54%
21%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
HER
5 - 1
NOV
65%
18%
18%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Perlen-Buchrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2019 |
PER
2 - 4
FCS
37%
22%
42%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
LUZ
2 - 3
PER
41%
22%
37%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
PER
2 - 1
ESC
79%
13%
9%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
FCP
2 - 0
PER
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
PER
3 - 0
BRU
55%
20%
25%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |