AS Mohammedia vs ES Jerba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
12º
11º
33
3º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Mohammedia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
OUE
1 - 0
ASM
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ASM
0 - 0
GAB
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ASM
1 - 0
COS
47%
26%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
EMM
0 - 0
ASM
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
ASM
0 - 0
CRO
38%
26%
37%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
ES Jerba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GAB
1 - 1
ESJ
52%
26%
23%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ESJ
1 - 1
JSK
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
ESJ
3 - 2
JEN
42%
28%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CLU
1 - 1
ESJ
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ESJ
1 - 0
SPO
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |