Melfi vs Poggibonsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 1
ASM
52%
25%
24%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ASM
0 - 0
USF
15%
21%
64%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
TUT
1 - 1
ASM
54%
24%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ASM
1 - 0
RAA
79%
15%
6%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
GAV
0 - 4
ASM
57%
23%
21%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
USP
1 - 0
CAS
29%
26%
45%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SOR
3 - 1
USP
78%
15%
7%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
USP
0 - 1
TER
30%
26%
44%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -3 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ARZ
1 - 4
USP
40%
26%
34%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
USP
1 - 1
CAS
36%
27%
37%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |