Melfi vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
55.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 1
ASM
82%
13%
5%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ASM
2 - 1
LAQ
36%
27%
37%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ARZ
0 - 1
ASM
49%
25%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ASM
4 - 0
FON
73%
18%
9%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
RAA
0 - 1
ASM
26%
27%
48%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
PON
1 - 1
APR
64%
22%
15%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
BOR
0 - 0
PON
22%
25%
53%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SAL
1 - 1
PON
71%
18%
12%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
PON
2 - 0
ARZ
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
USP
2 - 3
PON
27%
26%
47%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |