Melfi vs Monopoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ASM
3 - 0
ISC
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
BEN
3 - 0
ASM
67%
21%
12%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ASM
0 - 1
USF
19%
24%
57%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
LCR
0 - 0
ASM
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ASM
0 - 1
CAS
32%
28%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MON
2 - 3
BEN
15%
23%
62%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
MON
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MON
2 - 0
LCR
55%
24%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
MES
3 - 2
MON
53%
25%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MON
0 - 1
AKR
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |