Melfi vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
54.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
USF
1 - 0
ASM
83%
13%
4%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ASM
1 - 0
TAR
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MES
3 - 4
ASM
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
ASM
55%
24%
22%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
ASM
0 - 1
USV
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 1
MON
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
VNZ
3 - 1
MAT
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 1
MAT
29%
27%
45%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 1
LEC
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
JUS
1 - 2
MAT
44%
25%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |