Melfi vs Latina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
38.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
MIL
2 - 1
ASM
68%
19%
13%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ASM
2 - 0
USV
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
MAT
2 - 1
ASM
57%
23%
20%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ASM
4 - 0
FCC
72%
18%
10%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ASM
1 - 2
TRA
30%
26%
44%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Latina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
LAT
0 - 0
POM
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
TRA
3 - 2
LAT
62%
22%
17%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
AVE
0 - 1
LAT
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2011 |
LAT
1 - 1
MIL
40%
27%
33%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
FCC
0 - 2
LAT
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |