AS Marsa vs EGS Gafsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
39.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
8º
7º
21
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
TAT
2 - 1
ASD
58%
24%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 1
ASD
62%
24%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
ASD
0 - 1
TAT
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
ASD
0 - 1
ESP
20%
27%
52%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CAB
3 - 1
ASD
61%
24%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
EGS Gafsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
EGS
0 - 0
BEN
39%
29%
33%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
BEN
5 - 0
EGS
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
EGS
1 - 0
OLY
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
ASS
0 - 2
EGS
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
EGS
1 - 3
STA
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |