AS Excelsior vs Tefana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.6%
56.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
5.7%
3-4
2%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
3.6%
3-5
1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
+100%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
MAT
3 - 2
ASE
50%
21%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ASE
3 - 1
OLY
66%
17%
17%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
DRA
8 - 0
ASE
81%
11%
8%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
TEF
5 - 0
ASE
84%
10%
7%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
ASE
1 - 10
VEN
29%
19%
52%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Tefana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
TEF
2 - 0
MAN
59%
18%
23%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
TEF
0 - 5
PIR
52%
18%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
TEF
2 - 0
ASJ
93%
5%
2%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
TEF
5 - 0
ASE
84%
10%
7%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
PUE
1 - 1
TEF
45%
20%
35%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |