ASPAC vs Dragons de l'Ouémé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SEM
1 - 2
ASP
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
MOG
0 - 0
ASP
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
TON
1 - 0
ASP
46%
26%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ASP
1 - 2
JEU
53%
24%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ASF
5 - 4
ASP
70%
19%
12%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Dragons de l'Ouémé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
DRA
1 - 0
PAN
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
DRA
1 - 0
POL
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
DRA
2 - 0
AKA
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MOG
0 - 2
DRA
54%
24%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
POL
0 - 0
DRA
57%
23%
21%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |