Cittadella vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
20.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
PAV
1 - 1
CTT
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
CTT
1 - 1
PIS
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
RIM
2 - 2
CTT
47%
26%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
CTT
2 - 0
VAR
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
SAS
0 - 1
CTT
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
ACP
2 - 2
SPA
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
SPA
2 - 0
SAS
55%
26%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 0
SPA
41%
30%
30%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
SPA
1 - 0
PAD
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
ARZ
1 - 1
SPA
62%
23%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |