Cittadella vs Cosenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
CTT
26%
27%
47%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CTT
3 - 0
CRO
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
EMP
0 - 3
CTT
63%
20%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
CTT
1 - 0
MON
82%
13%
6%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 0
CTT
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
NUO
0 - 3
VER
21%
26%
53%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
ASC
1 - 1
NUO
55%
24%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
TOR
4 - 0
NUO
85%
11%
4%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
TRA
1 - 2
NUO
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
SIE
1 - 3
NUO
30%
29%
42%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |