Cittadella vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
CTT
1 - 0
VIC
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CTT
2 - 1
ASS
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
CTT
2 - 0
VIR
83%
12%
4%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
CTT
0 - 0
TRE
87%
10%
3%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
VNZ
1 - 1
CTT
50%
25%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
CRO
2 - 2
COM
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
CRO
2 - 2
BRE
42%
24%
35%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
CRO
1 - 1
USV
85%
11%
4%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
GER
0 - 1
CRO
8%
15%
77%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
INT
6 - 0
CRO
88%
9%
3%
|
70 | 92 | 22 | 0 |