National 3 Group F Round 7

Chatou vs AG Caennaise analysis

Chatou AG Caennaise
21 ELO 25
7.5% Tilt -1.2%
8825º General ELO ranking 11004º
288º Country ELO ranking 361º
ELO win probability
27.2%
Chatou
21.1%
Draw
51.7%
AG Caennaise

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
Chatou
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
51.7%
Win probability
AG Caennaise
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chatou
-5%
-73%
AG Caennaise

Points and table prediction

Chatou
Their league position
AG Caennaise
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
11º
32
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Villers Houlgate CF
52
52
100%
Alençon
50
50
100%
Chatou
44
44
100%
Caen II
39
39
100%
Saint-Lô Manche
38
38
100%
Dives
36
36
100%
Caen PTT
35
35
100%
Dieppe
34
34
100%
FC Flérien
33
33
100%
AG Caennaise
10º
32
32
10º
100%
Oissel
11º
31
31
11º
100%
Le Havre II
12º
29
29
12º
100%
QRM II
13º
26
26
13º
100%
Les Mureaux
14º
25
25
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Chatou
AG Caennaise
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Chatou
AG Caennaise
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chatou
Chatou
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2023
OIS
Oissel
1 - 2
Chatou
CHA
72%
17%
11%
18 30 12 0
07 Oct. 2023
CHA
Chatou
4 - 6
Villers Houlgate CF
VHO
39%
22%
40%
18 21 3 0
23 Sep. 2023
LEH
Le Havre II
2 - 2
Chatou
CHA
78%
14%
8%
18 33 15 0
09 Sep. 2023
CHA
Chatou
3 - 0
Dieppe
DIE
13%
19%
69%
13 34 21 +5
03 Sep. 2023
LMU
Les Mureaux
0 - 1
Chatou
CHA
84%
11%
5%
11 31 20 +2

Matches

AG Caennaise
AG Caennaise
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2023
AGC
AG Caennaise
1 - 2
QRM II
QUE
60%
19%
21%
27 25 2 0
07 Oct. 2023
AGC
AG Caennaise
4 - 2
Oissel
OIS
36%
23%
42%
25 32 7 +2
23 Sep. 2023
VHO
Villers Houlgate CF
3 - 0
AG Caennaise
AGC
24%
21%
55%
27 19 8 -2
09 Sep. 2023
AGC
AG Caennaise
1 - 5
Le Havre II
LEH
46%
22%
32%
28 31 3 -1
02 Sep. 2023
DIE
Dieppe
2 - 1
AG Caennaise
AGC
52%
22%
26%
29 33 4 -1