AS Castello vs Kickers Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
70.6%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
VED
19%
20%
61%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 3
TAV
18%
20%
62%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ESC
3 - 0
CAS
59%
20%
21%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
PER
40%
23%
37%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ZOF
2 - 1
CAS
87%
9%
5%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Kickers Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
LUZ
3 - 0
TAV
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
PER
1 - 3
LUZ
27%
21%
52%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
LUZ
4 - 2
HER
36%
23%
41%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
HOC
1 - 1
LUZ
37%
22%
41%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
LUZ
2 - 0
BRU
47%
22%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |