AS Castello vs Goldau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
67%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HOC
2 - 0
CAS
56%
21%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 6
IBA
37%
23%
40%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BRU
3 - 0
CAS
34%
22%
44%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
ASC
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
ESC
3 - 2
CAS
39%
23%
38%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
IBA
2 - 2
GOL
26%
23%
51%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
GOL
0 - 0
LUG
71%
16%
13%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
LUZ
1 - 3
GOL
22%
21%
57%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
GOL
3 - 3
BEL
13%
20%
68%
|
32 | 66 | 34 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
WIL
4 - 6
GOL
15%
17%
68%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +1 |