Cannes vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
59.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
SAI
1 - 2
CAN
24%
27%
49%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
CAN
2 - 2
MGG
63%
22%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
JUR
1 - 2
CAN
26%
27%
47%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
CAN
5 - 3
DIV
83%
12%
5%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CAN
3 - 0
SPO
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
GRE
1 - 1
GUI
29%
27%
45%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
GUI
0 - 3
MET
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
AJA
0 - 3
GUI
20%
26%
54%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
TFC
0 - 2
GUI
68%
19%
14%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
GUI
0 - 1
PFC
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |