Tunisia League Two Round 9

AS Ariana vs Sfax Railways analysis

AS Ariana Sfax Railways
43 ELO 53
4.4% Tilt -7.3%
4826º General ELO ranking 4514º
29º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
27.8%
AS Ariana
25.2%
Draw
47%
Sfax Railways

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
AS Ariana
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
47%
Win probability
Sfax Railways
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AS Ariana
-10%
+28%
Sfax Railways

ELO progression

AS Ariana
Sfax Railways
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AS Ariana
AS Ariana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 2019
RAD
ES Radès
3 - 0
AS Ariana
ASA
54%
23%
23%
45 47 2 0
23 Nov. 2019
ASA
AS Ariana
0 - 2
ES Zarzis
ZAR
24%
29%
48%
45 62 17 0
17 Nov. 2019
MBO
SA Menzel Bourguiba
0 - 0
AS Ariana
ASA
59%
23%
18%
45 49 4 0
09 Nov. 2019
ASA
AS Ariana
3 - 2
AS Gabès
GAB
14%
20%
65%
44 63 19 +1
02 Nov. 2019
ASA
AS Ariana
1 - 2
Sporting Ben Arous
SPO
42%
26%
32%
45 48 3 -1

Matches

Sfax Railways
Sfax Railways
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 2019
SFA
Sfax Railways
1 - 0
Sporting Ben Arous
SPO
51%
26%
24%
52 51 1 0
23 Nov. 2019
MED
CO Médenine
1 - 2
Sfax Railways
SFA
51%
25%
23%
51 52 1 +1
16 Nov. 2019
SFA
Sfax Railways
3 - 1
Sbikha
ASS
45%
25%
31%
50 51 1 +1
08 Nov. 2019
SFA
Sfax Railways
2 - 0
ES Radès
RAD
41%
23%
36%
49 48 1 +1
02 Nov. 2019
RAD
ES Radès
2 - 1
Sfax Railways
SFA
44%
25%
31%
50 47 3 -1