Arucas vs Herbania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
38.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
YAI
3 - 1
ARU
20%
22%
58%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ARU
2 - 0
CDT
50%
24%
26%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
PAS
2 - 0
ARU
47%
23%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ARU
2 - 0
MAR
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
VIC
1 - 3
ARU
24%
24%
52%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Herbania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
HBN
2 - 0
UNV
70%
17%
14%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
YAI
0 - 2
HBN
24%
22%
54%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
HBN
3 - 0
CDT
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
YAI
2 - 1
HBN
23%
22%
56%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
HBN
3 - 0
YAI
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |