Europa League Group F Round 3

Arsenal vs Vitória Guimarães analysis

Arsenal Vitória Guimarães
89 ELO 80
12.1% Tilt 20%
16º General ELO ranking 112º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
73.8%
Arsenal
16.5%
Draw
9.8%
Vitória Guimarães

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
Arsenal
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.8%
Win probability
Vitória Guimarães
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arsenal
+1%
-6%
Vitória Guimarães

ELO progression

Arsenal
Vitória Guimarães
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2019
SHE
Sheffield United
1 - 0
Arsenal
ARS
12%
19%
69%
89 77 12 0
06 Oct. 2019
ARS
Arsenal
1 - 0
AFC Bournemouth
BOU
70%
17%
13%
89 82 7 0
03 Oct. 2019
ARS
Arsenal
4 - 0
Standard de Liège
SDL
66%
19%
15%
88 84 4 +1
30 Sep. 2019
MUD
Manchester United
1 - 1
Arsenal
ARS
35%
25%
40%
88 88 0 0
24 Sep. 2019
ARS
Arsenal
5 - 0
Nottingham Forest
NTT
81%
13%
6%
88 72 16 0

Matches

Vitória Guimarães
Vitória Guimarães
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2019
SFU
Sintra
1 - 1
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
2%
6%
92%
81 28 53 0
03 Oct. 2019
VIT
Vitória Guimarães
0 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt
EIN
25%
23%
53%
81 86 5 0
29 Sep. 2019
VIT
Vitória Guimarães
1 - 0
Paços de Ferreira
PAÇ
63%
22%
16%
81 72 9 0
25 Sep. 2019
SLB
Benfica
0 - 0
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
76%
15%
9%
81 88 7 0
22 Sep. 2019
TON
Tondela
1 - 3
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
27%
25%
48%
81 70 11 0