Arsenal vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
MID
2 - 1
ARS
19%
25%
57%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2005 |
ARS
4 - 1
FUL
79%
14%
7%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
CHL
1 - 0
ARS
44%
26%
30%
|
94 | 94 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
ARS
2 - 0
NEW
71%
17%
12%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
ARS
1 - 2
CHL
52%
22%
27%
|
94 | 94 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
YOB
0 - 0
THU
51%
23%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
YVE
2 - 0
THU
19%
24%
57%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
THU
3 - 0
MFF
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2005 |
NEX
0 - 2
THU
31%
25%
44%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
THU
2 - 1
GCZ
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |