Arsenal vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
ARS
0 - 0
LEI
69%
20%
11%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2000 |
SHW
1 - 1
ARS
22%
26%
52%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1999 |
ARS
2 - 0
LEE
54%
24%
22%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1999 |
COV
3 - 2
ARS
28%
27%
45%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
ARS
1 - 1
WIM
70%
18%
11%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
TRA
1 - 0
SUN
30%
24%
46%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2000 |
WIM
1 - 0
SUN
35%
26%
40%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1999 |
SUN
2 - 2
MUD
20%
23%
57%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1999 |
EVE
5 - 0
SUN
38%
26%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
SUN
2 - 0
SOU
61%
23%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |