Arsenal vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
7.3%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1996 |
MON
3 - 2
ARS
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
MID
0 - 2
ARS
38%
27%
35%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1996 |
ARS
4 - 1
SHW
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1996 |
ARS
2 - 3
MON
44%
27%
29%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
ASV
2 - 2
ARS
46%
28%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1996 |
SUN
1 - 0
WAT
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
SUN
1 - 0
COV
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1996 |
WAT
0 - 2
SUN
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
DER
1 - 0
SUN
65%
21%
15%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
SUN
0 - 0
WHU
38%
29%
33%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |