Arsenal vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
FUL
0 - 3
ARS
19%
23%
58%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
SCP
2 - 2
ARS
29%
25%
47%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ARS
3 - 2
BOU
77%
15%
8%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
ARS
4 - 0
EVE
75%
16%
9%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LEI
0 - 1
ARS
23%
25%
52%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SCP
3 - 0
BOA
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
SCP
2 - 2
ARS
29%
25%
47%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
SCP
9%
18%
72%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
SCP
2 - 0
EST
79%
14%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
MID
0 - 4
SCP
24%
23%
53%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |