Arsenal vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ARS
3 - 1
BOU
74%
17%
9%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
ARS
2 - 2
PSG
52%
24%
25%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
MUD
1 - 1
ARS
28%
25%
48%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ARS
1 - 1
TOT
58%
23%
19%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
LUD
2 - 3
ARS
13%
19%
67%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 0
EVE
44%
25%
31%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 0
SOU
44%
26%
31%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 0
LIV
40%
25%
35%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
HUL
2 - 1
SOU
24%
28%
49%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 1
INT
53%
24%
24%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |