Arsenal vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
BPO
1 - 3
ARS
12%
18%
70%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ARS
0 - 0
BBU
72%
17%
11%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
WBA
2 - 2
ARS
16%
20%
64%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
MUD
2 - 0
ARS
54%
22%
24%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
FCB
3 - 1
ARS
63%
19%
17%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
LIV
3 - 0
MAC
49%
25%
27%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
WBA
2 - 1
LIV
33%
27%
40%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SUN
0 - 2
LIV
29%
28%
42%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
LIV
0 - 0
SPB
62%
22%
16%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
SPB
1 - 0
LIV
40%
28%
32%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |