Arsenal vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
BOL
2 - 2
ARS
16%
23%
62%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
MID
0 - 2
ARS
20%
24%
56%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
ARS
2 - 2
MUD
49%
23%
28%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
ARS
1 - 0
SHE
83%
13%
5%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
ASV
1 - 1
ARS
17%
24%
59%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
LEE
2 - 3
BBU
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2003 |
LEE
2 - 0
FUL
57%
24%
19%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
SOU
3 - 2
LEE
41%
26%
33%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
LEE
2 - 2
TOT
53%
25%
23%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
CHA
1 - 6
LEE
39%
26%
35%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |