Arsenal vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
STO
1 - 1
ARS
20%
26%
54%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
ARS
0 - 0
COV
68%
20%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
BBU
0 - 2
ARS
49%
26%
26%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
ARS
2 - 0
SUN
75%
18%
7%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1996 |
MON
3 - 2
ARS
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
LEE
1 - 2
ASV
42%
29%
29%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
ASV
2 - 0
LEE
51%
25%
23%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
LEE
2 - 0
NTT
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
LEI
1 - 0
LEE
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1996 |
DAR
0 - 2
LEE
16%
23%
61%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |