Arsenal vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1978 |
DER
3 - 0
ARS
51%
24%
25%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1978 |
IPS
1 - 0
ARS
59%
21%
20%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1978 |
ARS
1 - 0
MID
63%
22%
15%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1978 |
LIV
1 - 0
ARS
67%
20%
14%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
LEE
1 - 3
ARS
55%
24%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1978 |
QPR
0 - 0
LEE
45%
26%
29%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1978 |
ASV
3 - 1
LEE
53%
24%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
LEE
1 - 3
ARS
55%
24%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
NTT
1 - 1
LEE
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1978 |
LEE
2 - 0
DER
62%
22%
17%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |