Arsenal vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
S04
2 - 2
ARS
33%
24%
43%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MUD
2 - 1
ARS
64%
19%
17%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
REA
5 - 7
ARS
15%
20%
65%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ARS
1 - 0
QPR
81%
14%
6%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
ARS
0 - 2
S04
57%
22%
21%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
FUL
2 - 2
EVE
44%
26%
31%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
REA
3 - 3
FUL
36%
28%
36%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
FUL
1 - 0
ASV
56%
22%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 2
FUL
37%
28%
36%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
FUL
1 - 2
MAC
26%
25%
49%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |