Premier League Round 27

Arsenal vs Fulham analysis

Arsenal Fulham
93 ELO 85
-6.5% Tilt 9.4%
18º General ELO ranking 80º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
71.8%
Arsenal
18.8%
Draw
9.4%
Fulham

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
Arsenal
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
9.4%
Win probability
Fulham
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arsenal
+1%
-3%
Fulham

ELO progression

Arsenal
Fulham
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2009
ARS
Arsenal
1 - 0
Roma
ROM
56%
24%
21%
93 90 3 0
21 Feb. 2009
ARS
Arsenal
0 - 0
Sunderland
SUN
75%
17%
8%
93 81 12 0
16 Feb. 2009
ARS
Arsenal
4 - 0
Cardiff City
CAR
76%
17%
8%
93 79 14 0
08 Feb. 2009
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
0 - 0
Arsenal
ARS
34%
25%
42%
93 89 4 0
31 Jan. 2009
ARS
Arsenal
0 - 0
West Ham
WHU
72%
18%
9%
93 85 8 0

Matches

Fulham
Fulham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2009
FUL
Fulham
2 - 1
Swansea City
SWA
62%
22%
17%
84 78 6 0
22 Feb. 2009
FUL
Fulham
2 - 0
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
57%
23%
21%
84 80 4 0
18 Feb. 2009
MUD
Manchester United
3 - 0
Fulham
FUL
80%
14%
6%
84 96 12 0
14 Feb. 2009
SWA
Swansea City
1 - 1
Fulham
FUL
40%
28%
33%
84 78 6 0
07 Feb. 2009
WIG
Wigan Athletic
0 - 0
Fulham
FUL
44%
28%
28%
84 84 0 0