Premier League . Jor. 1

Arsenal vs Fulham analysis

Arsenal Fulham
93 ELO 82
7.2% Tilt -2.8%
General ELO ranking 70º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
74.9%
Arsenal
16.1%
Draw
9%
Fulham

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
Arsenal
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9%
Win probability
Fulham
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arsenal
+6%
+4%
Fulham

ELO progression

Arsenal
Fulham
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jul. 2007
ARS
Arsenal
2 - 1
PSG
PSG
77%
16%
7%
93 86 7 0
28 Jul. 2007
ARS
Arsenal
2 - 1
Inter
INT
51%
24%
25%
93 93 0 0
13 May. 2007
OPA
Portsmouth
0 - 0
Arsenal
ARS
21%
26%
53%
93 83 10 0
06 May. 2007
ARS
Arsenal
1 - 1
Chelsea
CHL
42%
27%
32%
93 96 3 0
29 Apr. 2007
ARS
Arsenal
3 - 1
Fulham
FUL
74%
16%
9%
93 82 11 0

Matches

Fulham
Fulham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 May. 2007
MID
Middlesbrough
3 - 1
Fulham
FUL
56%
23%
22%
82 84 2 0
05 May. 2007
FUL
Fulham
1 - 0
Liverpool
LIV
23%
27%
50%
82 92 10 0
29 Apr. 2007
ARS
Arsenal
3 - 1
Fulham
FUL
74%
16%
9%
82 93 11 0
21 Apr. 2007
FUL
Fulham
1 - 1
Blackburn Rovers
BBU
36%
27%
38%
82 87 5 0
14 Apr. 2007
REA
Reading
1 - 0
Fulham
FUL
52%
24%
25%
82 84 2 0
X