Arsenal vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
11.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1896 |
DAR
1 - 1
ARS
66%
18%
16%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1896 |
ARS
2 - 0
NOT
39%
24%
38%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 1896 |
LOU
2 - 1
ARS
26%
23%
51%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1896 |
POR
0 - 2
ARS
31%
24%
45%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1896 |
LEI
1 - 0
ARS
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1896 |
CRE
0 - 1
GRI
17%
19%
64%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1896 |
GRI
2 - 0
CRE
73%
15%
12%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1896 |
CRE
1 - 1
LEI
22%
22%
56%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1896 |
MAC
4 - 0
CRE
76%
14%
10%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1896 |
CRE
2 - 2
LIN
23%
21%
56%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |