Arsenal vs Burton Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1895 |
ARS
1 - 1
ROT
71%
17%
12%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1895 |
ARS
1 - 1
BUR
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1895 |
POR
0 - 1
ARS
25%
22%
53%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1895 |
ARS
3 - 2
NEW
36%
22%
42%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1895 |
LEI
3 - 1
ARS
58%
21%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Burton Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1895 |
BUR
2 - 2
BUR
66%
18%
16%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1895 |
BUR
6 - 1
LIN
65%
18%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1895 |
NOT
5 - 1
BUR
67%
18%
15%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1895 |
BUR
5 - 3
NEW
35%
24%
41%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1894 |
ROT
4 - 1
BUR
25%
21%
54%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | -2 |