Arsenal vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1904 |
ARS
0 - 2
MAC
37%
24%
39%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1904 |
ARS
3 - 2
FUL
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1904 |
MUD
1 - 0
ARS
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1904 |
BUR
3 - 1
ARS
27%
26%
48%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1904 |
ARS
6 - 0
GAI
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1904 |
BAR
1 - 2
BRA
38%
24%
38%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1904 |
GLO
7 - 0
BAR
34%
25%
42%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 1904 |
BRI
2 - 0
BAR
64%
19%
17%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1904 |
BAR
2 - 1
BUR
59%
21%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1904 |
GAI
4 - 2
BAR
32%
25%
43%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |