Arsenal vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2002 |
ROM
1 - 3
ARS
42%
26%
32%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
SOU
3 - 2
ARS
22%
25%
53%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
ARS
3 - 0
TOT
76%
15%
9%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2002 |
ARS
0 - 0
PSV
69%
17%
14%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
ARS
1 - 0
NEW
70%
17%
13%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
ASV
4 - 1
WHU
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
WBA
0 - 0
ASV
32%
28%
41%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
ASV
3 - 1
FUL
46%
27%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
OXF
0 - 3
ASV
25%
29%
46%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
BBU
0 - 0
ASV
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |