Arsenal Tula II vs Spartak Tambov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
45.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
6º
14º
12º
28
2º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 68 |
1º
|
73% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 65 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 59 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 50 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 48 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 45 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 39 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 35 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 33 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 31 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 28 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 21 |
15º
|
66.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 10 |
16º
|
93.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
5.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
ROM
2 - 1
ARS
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
ARS
0 - 3
ZVE
33%
28%
39%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
ARS
0 - 0
ORE
43%
23%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
FKO
1 - 1
ARS
19%
21%
60%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
ARS
2 - 1
DIN
14%
24%
62%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Spartak Tambov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
SPA
0 - 1
DIN
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
MET
2 - 1
SPA
47%
26%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
SPA
3 - 0
ROT
74%
15%
11%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
ZEN
0 - 0
SPA
41%
26%
32%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
SPA
1 - 4
SAL
32%
25%
44%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |