Arsenal Tula II vs SKA Khabarovsk II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
12º
6º
29
2º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 13 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2023 |
KOL
2 - 5
ARS
40%
22%
38%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ARS
2 - 0
ZAN
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ZEN
0 - 2
ARS
33%
23%
43%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ARS
2 - 0
KHI
29%
23%
48%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
SKA
2 - 0
ARS
28%
21%
51%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
SKA Khabarovsk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2023 |
SKA
0 - 1
SAK
40%
23%
37%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
FPP
1 - 1
SKA
65%
18%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FKO
1 - 1
SKA
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SPA
3 - 2
SKA
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
SKA
2 - 0
ARS
28%
21%
51%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |