Arsenal Tula II vs FK Orel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
30.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
6º
14º
14º
16
10º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 67 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 65 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 59 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 55 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 55 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 50 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 40 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 40 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 34 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 33 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 31 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 25 |
15º
|
46.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 11 |
16º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
80% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
20% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
FKO
1 - 1
ARS
19%
20%
61%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
ARS
2 - 1
DIN
15%
24%
62%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
STR
1 - 2
ARS
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
DIN
2 - 1
ARS
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
ARS
1 - 2
MET
29%
23%
48%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
ORE
1 - 1
DIN
19%
22%
59%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
MET
2 - 0
ORE
63%
22%
16%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
ORE
1 - 0
ROT
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
ZEN
3 - 1
ORE
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
ORE
0 - 1
SAL
16%
21%
63%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |