Premier League Sub 18 South Round 4

Arsenal U18 vs Southampton U18 analysis

Arsenal U18 Southampton U18
44 ELO 29
21.2% Tilt 22.1%
6369º General ELO ranking 8391º
232º Country ELO ranking 364º
ELO win probability
81.9%
Arsenal U18
11%
Draw
7.2%
Southampton U18

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
Arsenal U18
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
7.2%
Win probability
Southampton U18
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arsenal U18
-2%
+102%
Southampton U18

Points and table prediction

Arsenal U18
Their league position
Southampton U18
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
45
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Aston Villa U18
47
47
100%
Southampton U18
45
45
100%
Arsenal U18
44
44
100%
Chelsea U18
42
42
100%
Fulham U18
39
39
100%
Crystal Palace U18
38
38
100%
Tottenham Hotspur U18
37
37
100%
Reading U18
32
32
100%
West Ham U18
25
25
100%
Brighton & Hove U18
10º
24
24
10º
100%
Leicester U18
12º
23
23
11º
100%
Norwich City U18
11º
23
23
12º
100%
West Bromwich Albion U18
13º
15
15
13º
100%
Expected probabilities
Arsenal U18
Southampton U18
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Arsenal U18
Southampton U18
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arsenal U18
Arsenal U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2024
WBA
West Bromwich Albion U18
3 - 3
Arsenal U18
ARS
11%
14%
75%
45 25 20 0
24 Aug. 2024
ARS
Arsenal U18
1 - 0
Chelsea U18
CHE
57%
20%
23%
44 40 4 +1
17 Aug. 2024
WHU
West Ham U18
2 - 3
Arsenal U18
ARS
54%
21%
25%
43 46 3 +1
11 May. 2024
ARS
Arsenal U18
5 - 2
Chelsea U18
CHE
37%
23%
41%
40 44 4 +3
04 May. 2024
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur U18
3 - 2
Arsenal U18
ARS
27%
20%
53%
41 32 9 -1

Matches

Southampton U18
Southampton U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2024
SOU
Southampton U18
2 - 3
Aston Villa U18
AST
75%
14%
11%
29 20 9 0
24 Aug. 2024
CRY
Crystal Palace U18
1 - 1
Southampton U18
SOU
64%
18%
18%
28 37 9 +1
17 Aug. 2024
SOU
Southampton U18
2 - 1
Fulham U18
FUL
20%
19%
61%
26 38 12 +2
27 Jul. 2024
INT
CF Intercity
4 - 1
Southampton U18
SOU
78%
14%
8%
26 56 30 0
11 May. 2024
SOU
Southampton U18
3 - 1
West Bromwich Albion U18
WBA
36%
21%
42%
25 27 2 +1