Arroyomolinos vs Goya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyomolinos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
NVL
1 - 5
ARY
25%
24%
51%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ARY
3 - 0
LUL
47%
22%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ARY
0 - 1
CDE
21%
20%
59%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ROZ
1 - 3
ARY
20%
19%
61%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ARY
2 - 1
ALU
60%
20%
21%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Goya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CDG
2 - 4
CDE
13%
17%
71%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ROZ
6 - 2
CDG
29%
21%
51%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CDG
1 - 3
ALU
79%
13%
9%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MOS
1 - 0
CDG
33%
22%
45%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CDG
2 - 0
GAL
67%
17%
16%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |