Arroyo vs Trujillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
44%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
ARR
2 - 0
VAL
73%
17%
10%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
EMD
4 - 0
ARR
48%
26%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
ARR
2 - 1
JER
36%
25%
39%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
UDF
1 - 3
ARR
48%
25%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ARR
1 - 0
MON
52%
24%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
TRU
1 - 0
EMD
46%
23%
31%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
JER
1 - 2
TRU
50%
22%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
TRU
3 - 0
UDF
56%
21%
24%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
MON
1 - 2
TRU
30%
23%
47%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
TRU
4 - 2
PLA
28%
24%
48%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +2 |