Arroyo vs Sagrada Cena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
GAR
1 - 2
ARR
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ARR
4 - 0
ORE
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
CAS
1 - 1
ARR
34%
25%
41%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ARR
2 - 1
TAL
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
MAL
0 - 3
ARR
32%
24%
45%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sagrada Cena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
SAG
1 - 1
HER
35%
24%
40%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
COR
4 - 0
SAG
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
SAG
5 - 1
CIU
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
AMA
0 - 0
SAG
62%
22%
17%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
GAR
2 - 4
SAG
56%
21%
22%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |