Arroyo vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
38.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 0
ARR
60%
23%
18%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ARR
1 - 1
ROD
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CAD
2 - 5
ARR
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
ARR
81%
14%
6%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ARR
0 - 1
SEV
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
RJA
1 - 0
CAR
39%
28%
32%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SEV
1 - 0
RJA
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
RJA
3 - 2
SRQ
54%
26%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
RJA
0 - 3
ATM
8%
19%
73%
|
63 | 91 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 1
RJA
32%
30%
38%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |